Luisa Crawford
Jan 24, 2026 07:30
Avalanche (AVAX) faces critical support at $11.69 with technical analysts eyeing $12.49 targets by January 25, though bearish momentum persists at current $12.12 levels.
AVAX Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $12.49
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $11.57-$13.27 range
• Bullish breakout level: $12.71
• Critical support: $11.69
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Avalanche
While specific analyst predictions from major KOLs are limited in recent hours, several technical analysis platforms have provided Avalanche forecasts for the coming week. According to CoinCodex analysis from January 21, “Over the next five days, Avalanche will reach the highest price of $12.49 on Jan 25, 2026, which would represent 0.30% growth compared to the current price.”
DigitalCoinPrice released a comprehensive 7-day AVAX price prediction on January 23, projecting volatile movement with targets ranging from $11.57 to $13.27. Their analysis suggests the most bullish scenario could materialize on January 29 with a potential 9.37% surge to $13.27.
Meanwhile, analyst Tony Kim highlighted technical momentum indicators on January 20, stating: “Avalanche shows bullish MACD momentum and RSI breakout potential, with analysts forecasting AVAX price targets of $18-20 in the medium term as key resistance levels approach.”
According to on-chain data and technical analysis platforms, AVAX remains in a consolidation phase with mixed signals across different timeframes.
AVAX Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical picture for Avalanche presents a complex scenario. AVAX is trading at $12.12, representing a modest 0.25% decline over the past 24 hours. The token has established a clear trading range between $11.99 and $12.50, indicating short-term consolidation.
The RSI reading of 37.76 places AVAX in neutral territory, though leaning toward oversold conditions. This suggests potential for a bounce if buying interest emerges. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum has stalled but hasn’t reversed to bullish territory yet.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals AVAX is positioned at 0.12 on the band scale, placing it very close to the lower band support at $11.71. The middle band sits at $13.45, while the upper band extends to $15.19. This positioning suggests AVAX is testing lower support levels and could be due for a technical bounce.
Moving averages paint a mixed picture across different timeframes. The 7-day SMA at $12.38 sits above the current price, indicating short-term bearish pressure. However, the convergence between the 12-period EMA ($12.79) and 26-period EMA ($13.12) suggests potential for trend reversal if momentum shifts.
Avalanche Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In an optimistic scenario, AVAX could target the immediate resistance at $12.42, followed by the stronger resistance level at $12.71. A break above $12.71 would confirm bullish momentum and could propel the token toward the 7-day SMA at $12.38 and potentially the EMA levels around $12.79.
The most aggressive bullish target aligns with DigitalCoinPrice projections of $13.27, which would require sustained buying pressure and a break above multiple resistance levels. Technical confirmation would come from RSI moving above 50 and MACD turning decisively positive.
Bearish Scenario
The primary risk for AVAX lies in a breakdown below the critical support at $11.69. Such a move could trigger further selling pressure toward the Bollinger Band lower support at $11.71, and potentially test psychological support levels around $11.50.
The most pessimistic scenario from DigitalCoinPrice suggests a potential drop to $11.57 by January 31, representing a 4.68% decline from current levels. This downside target could materialize if broader market conditions deteriorate or if AVAX fails to hold key support levels.
Should You Buy AVAX? Entry Strategy
For traders considering AVAX positions, the current technical setup offers several strategic entry points. Conservative buyers might wait for a clear break above $12.42 with volume confirmation before initiating positions, targeting the $12.71 resistance level.
More aggressive traders could consider dollar-cost averaging near current levels, with a stop-loss positioned below $11.69 to limit downside risk. The risk-reward ratio appears favorable given the proximity to technical support levels.
Position sizing should account for the elevated volatility, as indicated by the Average True Range of $0.71. This suggests daily price swings of approximately 6% are normal for AVAX in current market conditions.
Conclusion
The AVAX price prediction for the coming week suggests moderate upside potential to $12.49, supported by technical analysis from multiple platforms. However, the mixed momentum indicators require cautious optimism, with critical support at $11.69 serving as a key level to monitor.
The Avalanche forecast presents a scenario where short-term consolidation could give way to either a technical bounce toward $12.71 or a deeper correction toward $11.57. Traders should remain vigilant of broader market conditions and volume patterns for confirmation of directional moves.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20260124-price-prediction-avax-targets-1249-by-week-end-amid
