Solana trades at $80.64 in oversold territory with RSI at 26.41, suggesting potential bounce toward $95-105 range as technical indicators signal oversold conditionsSolana trades at $80.64 in oversold territory with RSI at 26.41, suggesting potential bounce toward $95-105 range as technical indicators signal oversold conditions

SOL Price Prediction: Targets $95-105 Recovery by March 2026

2026/02/11 18:11
4 min read

SOL Price Prediction: Targets $95-105 Recovery by March 2026

Peter Zhang Feb 11, 2026 10:11

Solana trades at $80.64 in oversold territory with RSI at 26.41, suggesting potential bounce toward $95-105 range as technical indicators signal oversold conditions.

SOL Price Prediction: Targets $95-105 Recovery by March 2026

SOL Price Prediction Summary

Short-term target (1 week): $85-87 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $95-105 range
Bullish breakout level: $87.01 • Critical support: $77.09

What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Solana

While specific analyst predictions from recent days are limited, earlier January forecasts remain relevant for context. Rebeca Moen projected Solana could reach $150 targets, noting "technical analysis reveals key resistance at $142 could unlock 8% upside potential within weeks." Similarly, Darius Baruo suggested SOL price prediction shows "bullish momentum with $162 target possible within 3 weeks."

However, these earlier projections were made when SOL traded significantly higher. Current on-chain metrics and technical indicators suggest a more measured recovery trajectory given the recent price decline to oversold levels.

SOL Technical Analysis Breakdown

Solana's current technical setup presents a compelling oversold bounce scenario. With SOL trading at $80.64, the cryptocurrency has declined -4.62% in the past 24 hours, bringing several key technical indicators into extremely oversold territory.

The RSI (14-period) at 26.41 indicates severe oversold conditions, typically suggesting an impending relief rally. When RSI drops below 30, assets often experience short-term bounces as selling pressure exhausts itself.

Bollinger Band analysis shows SOL positioned at 0.1662 on the %B indicator, placing it very close to the lower band at $69.08. The current price sits well below the middle band (20-day SMA) at $103.87, indicating significant deviation from the mean that often corrects through upward price movement.

The MACD histogram at -0.0000 suggests bearish momentum may be stabilizing, though the negative MACD value of -12.6699 indicates continued downward pressure. Moving averages paint a bearish picture with SOL trading below all major MAs, including the crucial 7-day SMA at $84.40.

Key resistance levels emerge at $83.83 (immediate) and $87.01 (strong resistance), while support holds at $78.87 and $77.09. The daily ATR of $9.95 suggests continued high volatility, creating opportunities for significant price swings.

Solana Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

Bullish Scenario

The oversold RSI reading presents the strongest case for a Solana forecast recovery. If SOL can reclaim the $83.83 immediate resistance, a move toward the 7-day SMA at $84.40 becomes probable. Breaking above the strong resistance at $87.01 could trigger momentum toward the $95-105 range over the coming month.

Technical confirmation would require RSI climbing above 35, indicating oversold conditions are resolving, and daily trading volume exceeding the current $236.9 million to validate any upward breakout.

Bearish Scenario

Failure to hold the $78.87 immediate support could trigger further decline toward the critical $77.09 level. A break below this zone might target the lower Bollinger Band around $69.08, representing roughly 14% additional downside.

The bearish case strengthens if SOL fails to reclaim the $83.83 resistance within the next week, particularly given the negative MACD reading and position below all moving averages.

Should You Buy SOL? Entry Strategy

The current SOL price prediction suggests a tactical approach for potential buyers. Conservative entry points emerge around $78-80, near current levels, with aggressive accumulation possible if price tests the $77.09 support.

  • Entry: $78-80 range
  • Stop-loss: $75.50 (below critical support)
  • Target 1: $85-87 (resistance zone)
  • Target 2: $95-105 (monthly forecast range)

Position sizing should remain modest given the overall bearish trend structure, with stops placed below the $77.09 support to limit downside exposure.

Conclusion

This SOL price prediction suggests a 15-30% recovery potential over the next month, driven primarily by oversold technical conditions rather than fundamental catalysts. The RSI at 26.41 provides the strongest bullish signal, though the overall trend remains bearish with SOL trading below all major moving averages.

Confidence level for the $95-105 Solana forecast sits at moderate given mixed technical signals. While oversold bounces are probable, sustainable uptrends require reclaiming key resistance levels above $87.01.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before trading.

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