Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

910 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Gemini krijgt groen licht voor voorspellingsmarkten in de VS

Gemini krijgt groen licht voor voorspellingsmarkten in de VS

Na vijf jaar wachten krijgt Gemini eindelijk groen licht van de Amerikaanse toezichthouder CFTC. Het cryptobedrijf mag nu officieel een zogenaamde Designated Contract

Author: Coinstats
Gemini prediction markets secure CFTC license for US launch

Gemini prediction markets secure CFTC license for US launch

The post Gemini prediction markets secure CFTC license for US launch appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. After years of regulatory wrangling, the push into Gemini

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Winklevoss-Backed Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets

Winklevoss-Backed Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets

The post Winklevoss-Backed Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini Space Station, Inc. (GEMI) said its affiliate Gemini Titan, LLC has received approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to operate as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), allowing the firm to offer regulated prediction markets to U.S. customers, according to a press release issued Wednesday. Per the release, Gemini first applied for a DCM license on March 10, 2020, and the company stated the approval marks the end of a five-year licensing process and the beginning of “a new chapter” for the exchange. “Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process and the beginning of a new chapter for Gemini,” CEO Tyler Winklevoss said in the press release. He thanked President Donald Trump for “ending the Biden Administration’s War on Crypto” and praised Acting CFTC Chair Caroline Pham for helping advance what he called the president’s vision of making the United States “the crypto capital of the world,” according to the statement. Gemini said the new DCM license will enable Gemini Titan to offer event contracts framed as simple yes-or-no questions tied to future outcomes. Examples given in the release include markets on whether one bitcoin will end the year above $200,000 or whether Elon Musk’s X will pay a $140 million fine to the European Commission by 2026. The approval places Gemini Titan among the small number of CFTC-regulated venues permitted to offer event contracts in the U.S., a market currently dominated by Kalshi, which operates under the same DCM framework. Meanwhile, decentralized platforms such as Polymarket continue to serve offshore users without U.S. authorization. The development adds a new regulated competitor to a sector that has drawn increasing interest as exchanges explore prediction-market-style products. The company also mentioned that U.S. customers will be able to trade these event contracts on Gemini’s web interface…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Secures CFTC Approval

Gemini Secures CFTC Approval

The post Gemini Secures CFTC Approval appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The CFTC’s approval gives Gemini the legal green light to operate a regulated futures marketplace under U.S. law. The platform, called Gemini Titan, will start with classic binary event contracts built around straightforward yes-or-no outcomes. Think election results, market events, and economic indicators. Over time, the license allows Gemini to widen its scope into full-fledged derivatives offerings: crypto futures, options, and perps. That puts Gemini in the same regulatory class as long-standing futures exchanges, but with a modern twist aimed at blockchain-native markets. A Long Application Finally Pays Off This wasn’t an overnight win. Gemini first filed for a DCM license back in March 2020, years before prediction markets became a mainstream talking point. At that time, the purpose wasn’t explicit, and few could have predicted how quickly the sector would heat up. Now, after a long and complex regulatory journey, the timing could not be better. Prediction platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have been posting record volumes, driven by last year’s election cycle and the surge of political speculation following President Donald Trump’s return to office. October and November were the biggest months in their history, and this momentum is still accelerating. Why the CFTC’s Stance Has Shifted For years, the CFTC treated prediction markets with caution. Polymarket was punished for operating unregistered markets, and Kalshi faced resistance when attempting to list political contracts. That changed once Kalshi won a legal battle that forced regulators to reconsider their position. Under Acting Chair Caroline Pham, the agency has moved toward a more business-friendly, innovation-focused approach. Cameron Winklevoss made this point clearly, praising Pham for embracing a vision where prediction markets can grow to the size of traditional financial markets. The shift isn’t just philosophical. Trump’s administration has shown enthusiastic support for prediction markets, even planning a Truth Social-branded marketplace in…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Gains CFTC Approval, Launches Prediction Market

Gemini Gains CFTC Approval, Launches Prediction Market

The post Gemini Gains CFTC Approval, Launches Prediction Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Points: Gemini gains CFTC approval for prediction market entry with Titan. GEMI shares jumped 18% pre-market after CFTC license announcement. Gemini aims to expand into regulated event contracts market. Gemini Space Station, Inc. (GEMI) surged 18% following CFTC approval for its affiliate, Gemini Titan, to launch a U.S. prediction market with binary event contracts.. This approval positions Gemini to compete in regulated prediction markets, enhancing its growth potential and impacting market dynamics with a double-digit stock surge. Gemini Secures Key CFTC License for Titan Platform Market response was robust, with Gemini’s shares surging over 18% in pre-market trading following the announcement. Analysts attribute this spike to investor enthusiasm surrounding Gemini’s entry into the prediction market space. Government officials and industry leaders have refrained from immediate comment, but financial analysts highlight the potential for Gemini to pioneer new market standards. The exchange’s reputation for compliance and innovation is further solidified by this regulatory milestone. Gemini’s Strategic Market Expansion and Future Prospects Did you know? Gemini’s success in securing the CFTC approval follows a five-year pursuit since its initial application in March 2020, showcasing the stringent U.S. regulatory landscape for derivatives and the perseverance required to penetrate this market. Gemini’s foray into the prediction market parallels earlier CFTC-approved platforms in the U.S., such as Kalshi. This expands the competition within the regulated event contract space. Financial experts predict that Gemini’s strong compliance record and existing market presence will bolster its competitive advantage. The CFTC’s approval indicates a continued shift toward formal regulation of crypto-related financial products. “Gemini Titan may later explore crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts for U.S. customers.” – Gemini Space Station, Inc., Official Announcement Looking ahead, experts speculate that Gemini might explore crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts for U.S. customers. This potential expansion could sway traditional financial…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini prediction markets gain CFTC green light as exchange eyes broader US derivatives push

Gemini prediction markets gain CFTC green light as exchange eyes broader US derivatives push

After years of regulatory wrangling, the push into Gemini prediction markets signals a new phase for the exchange’s U.S. strategy and product expansion. CFTC grants Designated Contract Market license to Gemini Titan The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has granted a CFTC Designated Contract Market license to Gemini Titan, an affiliate of Gemini Space Station, […]

Author: The Cryptonomist
Gemini Gains CFTC Approval, Launches Prediction Platform

Gemini Gains CFTC Approval, Launches Prediction Platform

The post Gemini Gains CFTC Approval, Launches Prediction Platform appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Points: Gemini Space Station, Inc. gains CFTC approval for prediction markets. Gemini Titan to provide binary event contracts to U.S. customers. Gemini’s stock rises by 18% following news of the approval. Gemini Space Station, Inc. received approval from the U.S. CFTC to operate Gemini Titan, a prediction market platform, causing an 18% surge in pre-market shares on December 10, 2025. Gemini’s CFTC approval for prediction markets marks a significant regulatory milestone, driving a double-digit increase in share price, signaling confidence in Gemini’s strategic market expansion. Gemini Titan Gets Green Light for U.S. Market Debut Gemini Space Station Inc., operating under the symbol GEMI, achieved a significant milestone with approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. This enables its affiliate, Gemini Titan, LLC, to offer binary event contracts in the U.S. market. The license, obtained on December 10, 2025, permits Gemini Titan to launch prediction markets catering to U.S. customers. The new platform, Gemini Titan, initially provides classic binary event contracts, characterized as simple yes/no questions tied to future events. “The prediction platform, named Gemini Titan, will initially launch with classic binary event contracts, which are ‘simple yes/no questions about future events.’” Following this approval, Gemini shares surged approximately 18% pre-market, showcasing market confidence in this expanded offering. This strength in pre-market performance aligns with a long-term strategy for regulated U.S. market entry. Gemini’s U.S. Market Strategy Bolstered by CFTC Approval Did you know? While Gemini’s successful CFTC registration secures it a spot among regulated U.S. prediction markets, it follows a five-year process since its initial application in 2020—highlighting the extensive nature of such regulatory approvals. Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a 2.33% decline in the past 24 hours, trading at $90,232.27 with a market cap of $1.80 trillion, as reported by CoinMarketCap. Its market dominance stands at 58.60%, reflecting a…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Markets

Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Markets

The post Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Launch Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini gains CFTC approval, allowing regulated prediction markets to launch for U.S. users. New Gemini Titan platform lets customers trade event contracts using existing USD balances. Prediction-market industry surges with rising volumes from Polymarket, Kalshi, and new entrants. Gemini has received an important approval from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, allowing it to operate as a Designated Contract Market and launch its Gemini Titan prediction platform in the United States.  With this licence, the exchange can now offer binary event contracts on Gemini Titan, marking its entry into the fast growing prediction markets sector under a regulated futures style framework. U.S. Users Will Soon Trade Event Contracts Gemini said that U.S. customers will soon be able to trade event contracts directly through the platform’s web interface using the USD already in their Gemini accounts. Support on the Gemini mobile app will follow. These markets let users predict real-world outcomes, such as elections, economic data, sports results, and major global events,  by buying contracts tied to “yes” or “no” outcomes. Related: Abu Dhabi RWA Tokenization Grows with Mubadala Pilot And Galaxy Digital’s ADGM Launch Gemini Approval Seen As A Turning Point For Prediction Markets Tyler Winklevoss said Gemini’s approval shows that U.S. regulators are now willing to treat prediction markets as a legitimate and scalable financial sector. “The move into this nascent and burgeoning frontier continues Gemini’s march towards building a one-stop financial super app for customers. Onward,” he said. Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process and the beginning of a new chapter for @Gemini. We thank @POTUS for ending the Biden Administration’s War on Crypto and Acting Chairman @CarolineDPham for her hard work and dedication to help realize President… https://t.co/aBcsjUVGVh — Tyler Winklevoss (@tyler) December 10, 2025 A DCM licence places Gemini Titan in the…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Gemini Approved by CFTC to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets, Stock Surges Nearly 14%

Gemini Approved by CFTC to Offer U.S. Prediction Markets, Stock Surges Nearly 14%

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Gemini Approved by CFTC to Offer U

Author: Coindesk
Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps

Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps

The post Gemini Receives CFTC Nod for Prediction Market, Plans Move Into Futures and Perps appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Gemini has gained CFTC approval that opens the exchange up to compete directly in the prediction market. This comes amid rising interest in the booming market as crypto platforms look to tap into its growth. Gemini Wins CFTC Approval to Offer Prediction Markets In a release, it was learnt that the crypto exchange has received formal authorization from the CFTC to operate a designated contract market via its affiliate Gemini Titan. BREAKING pic.twitter.com/s4q7QJFu5v — Gemini (@Gemini) December 10, 2025 The approval ends a five-year-long licensing process that started in 2020 and grants the company the capability to offer regulated prediction markets in the United States. Tyler Winklevoss attributed this to the support of a pro-innovation environment by the Trump administration and CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham. “Prediction markets have the potential to be as big or bigger than traditional capital markets. Acting Chairman Pham understands this vision and its importance,” he said. “Unlike her predecessor, Acting Chairman Pham has positioned the CFTC as a pro business, pro innovation regulator…” Gemini Titan has received approval to offer simple event-based contracts. These include binary “yes or no” bets on real-world events, such as political outcomes and economic data releases. In the coming weeks, U.S. users will be able to access prediction markets directly on its website, with mobile trading available later. This is just the first step in a bigger plan to expand their derivatives offerings. For instance, they are also exploring interest in additional products that U.S. traders have not been able to use before. This includes crypto futures, options, and perpetual swaps. Along with the derivatives announcement, the exchange also announced support for Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. The integration seeks to make cross-network transfers easier. GEMI Stock Surges Despite Tough First Few Months News of the CFTC…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews