Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

890 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Blockchain Throughput 100x in 5 years; Outruns Stripe, NASDAQ

Blockchain Throughput 100x in 5 years; Outruns Stripe, NASDAQ

The post Blockchain Throughput 100x in 5 years; Outruns Stripe, NASDAQ appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The blockchains led by Ethereum have improved their throughput over the years to cater to mainstream users.  The adoption of blockchain technology by institutional investors, fueled by clear regulations, has helped increase throughput over the years. Blockchains are yet to outshine credit card transactions, suggesting the technology is still in an early maturation phase. Blockchain technology is rapidly maturing, now capable of processing transaction volumes that rival major traditional financial systems, according to the 2025 State of Crypto report from a16z crypto. The venture firm’s analysis reveals blockchain throughput growth exploded by over 100x in just five years, demonstrating significant strides in scalability. As a result of 100x growth in blockchains’ TPS, the nascent technology is at par with the largest financial systems. According to the report, Stripe’s throughput during Black Friday and Cyber Monday is about 2,300 TPS. The NASDAQ’s trades during its opening hours process around 2,400 TPS. Blockchains Now Outpace Stripe, NASDAQ Peak TPS After 100x Growth (a16z) Meanwhile, the blockchain technology is yet to outpace credit card transactions per second, currently at around 24,500. As such, it is safe to assume that the blockchain technology is in the early maturation stage. Why are Blockchains’ TPS Up 100x in Five Years Developments of Blockchains to Cater for Mainstream Adoption of Crypto  The blockchains have grown to process 3,400 TPS, largely fueled by the mainstream adoption of crypto assets. According to the a16z report, the estimated number of monthly active crypto users has grown to 40-70 million, while the global crypto owners stand at over 716 million. Source: a16z Blockchains have evolved over the years to increase their throughput, led by Ethereum (ETH). Notably, the Ethereum network has dozens of layer two scaling solutions, ever since it transitioned to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism. New Use Cases for the…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Kalshi Eyes $10B Valuation as Investors Bet Big on Prediction Markets

Kalshi Eyes $10B Valuation as Investors Bet Big on Prediction Markets

TLDR: Kalshi is in talks with investors for a valuation between $10 billion and $12 billion following its latest funding round. Just weeks after raising $300 million at a $5 billion valuation, Kalshi’s value talk jumped again. The prediction-market platform claims annualised volume reaching $50 billion and is attracting crypto and sports-betting interest. Regulatory clarity [...] The post Kalshi Eyes $10B Valuation as Investors Bet Big on Prediction Markets appeared first on Blockonomi.

Author: Blockonomi
Polymarket Partners with DraftKings for Prediction Market Launch

Polymarket Partners with DraftKings for Prediction Market Launch

The post Polymarket Partners with DraftKings for Prediction Market Launch appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Key Points: Polymarket becomes clearinghouse for DraftKings’ prediction market after Railbird acquisition. Infrastructure role expansion key to market growth. Boosts ETH-based prediction settlement, influencing market liquidity. DraftKings is set to launch a regulated prediction market, designating Polymarket as the clearinghouse after acquiring Railbird, marking a significant step in blockchain adoption in regulated markets. This partnership could boost Ethereum transactions and transform prediction market infrastructure, highlighting institutional interest in blockchain technology. DraftKings and Polymarket Drive Regulated Market Growth DraftKings’ acquisition of CFTC-regulated Railbird creates a pathway to launch a new prediction market with Polymarket Clearing as the designated clearinghouse. This partnership highlights a significant milestone in the infrastructure sector. The arrangement between DraftKings and Polymarket signifies an expansion in the scope of prediction market operations. It further enhances B2B offerings and establishes a stronger foothold in regulated markets. The increased visibility could prompt more industry players. Community reactions have been largely positive, with notable endorsements. Shayne Coplan, Polymarket CEO, emphasized the significance of their role. Sector voices highlight expectations for robust market growth supported by regulated exchange operations. Ethereum Price Trends and Regulatory Impact on Liquidity Did you know? The introduction of regulated prediction markets by major players has historically led to increased trading volumes. The acquisition of Railbird by DraftKings could echo past trends, driving enhanced liquidity in Ethereum-based settlements. According to CoinMarketCap, Ethereum (ETH) trades at $3,858.41, with a market cap of $465.70 billion and a circulating supply of 120.70 million. The 24-hour trading volume saw a decrease of 19.67%, signaling volatility despite a 0.27% price increase. Ethereum(ETH), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 12:30 UTC on October 23, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap Expert insights from Coincu suggest that the regulatory compliance demonstrated by DraftKings’ acquisition may pave the way for broader industry acceptance. Technological advancements in prediction market infrastructure…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Jupiter Partners with Kalshi to Launch Solana-Based Predictions Market Product

Jupiter Partners with Kalshi to Launch Solana-Based Predictions Market Product

The post Jupiter Partners with Kalshi to Launch Solana-Based Predictions Market Product appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. On Wednesday, Jupiter said that its Jupiter Prediction Market beta version has just gone live. The company’s objective is to provide consumers with a diverse range of services on a single platform; prediction markets would help them achieve this aim and attract more users. Jupiter, a decentralized exchange aggregator based on Solana, is working with Kalshi to develop a new native predictions market product, and it aims to launch it before the year ends. On Wednesday, Jupiter said that its Jupiter Prediction Market beta version has just gone live. Users will be able to bet on the results of events thanks to Kalshi’s liquidity for Jupiter’s new offering. According to Jupiter Exchange COO Kash Dhanda, the company’s objective is to provide consumers with a diverse range of services on a single platform; prediction markets would help them achieve this aim and attract more users. Dhanda stated: “Prediction Markets represent a powerful evolution in the types of assets that are available onchain, and we’re thrilled to partner with Kalshi to bring them to Solana.” Burgeoning Prediction Markets Dhanda said that the platform would see an influx of new users due to the burgeoning prediction markets. According to the Q3 token holder report, Jupiter has 8.4 million active users as of the third quarter, which is a 5% increase from the previous quarter. Tokenholders will reap the benefits of the new prediction market in the long run, according to Dhanda. Jupiter, according to Dhanada, will utilize customer comments to make the product better. Additionally, he said that the prediction market is scheduled to be completely introduced in the fourth quarter. At this time, the beta version is limited to only one market: the prediction of the Formula One race winner for the next Mexico Grand Prix. There is a cap of 100,000 contracts worldwide, and…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Polymarket Is Exploding in Value

Polymarket Is Exploding in Value

The post Polymarket Is Exploding in Value appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Polymarket, the crypto-native prediction platform, is in talks to raise fresh funding at a valuation between $12 billion and $15 billion, according to Bloomberg. What’s remarkable is how fast this growth has happened. In June, the Shayne Coplan-led company was valued at just $1.2 billion after a $150 million round led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund. By early October, that number had ballooned to $9 billion, following a massive investment agreement with Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent firm of the NYSE. If this new round closes near the top end of its target, Polymarket will have seen a 10x valuation jump in less than five months, cementing its position as the market leader in the prediction economy. The Rise of Crypto Prediction Platforms Founded in 2020, Polymarket lets users bet on real-world outcomes using simple yes/no contracts. Topics range from elections and sports to financial markets and pop culture. The appeal lies in the wisdom-of-the-crowd dynamic—aggregating public sentiment into a tradable market signal. This space has been heating up quickly. Kalshi, a U.S.-regulated rival, has also been attracting major capital, with its valuation jumping from $5 billion to potentially $12 billion in just weeks. The competition highlights a growing investor belief that prediction markets could become a new frontier for decentralized finance, combining speculation, data-driven insights, and social engagement. ICE, DraftKings, and the Push into Mainstream Finance Polymarket’s ties with established financial and entertainment players are pushing the platform toward legitimacy. ICE’s potential $2 billion investment isn’t just a financial boost—it’s a strategic bridge between Wall Street infrastructure and on-chain market innovation. Adding to that momentum, Polymarket revealed plans to act as the designated clearinghouse for DraftKings if the sports betting giant enters the prediction market scene. This partnership could blur the line between sports betting and event forecasting, expanding…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
NHL strikes prediction market deals with Kalshi, Polymarket

NHL strikes prediction market deals with Kalshi, Polymarket

The post NHL strikes prediction market deals with Kalshi, Polymarket appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The National Hockey League said Wednesday it’s reached a multi-year licensing agreement with prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket. More sports leagues may be coming soon. Tarek Mansour, Kalsh’si co-founder and CEO, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” the deal marked a “seminal moment” for prediction markets and the company. “A league like the NHL partnering with us is a strong sign that prediction markets are here to stay,” Mansour said. As part of the NHL deal, Kalshi and Polymarket will gain access to the league’s proprietary data and rights to use NHL marks and logos. In return, Mansour said, the hockey league will get a suite of customer protections. The NHL said both companies will receive brand exposure during broadcasts. Mansour said the NHL deal could be replicated across other leagues: “Be on the lookout for more announcements soon,” he told CNBC. Representatives for the NBA and NFL did not immediately respond to requests for comment. MLB declined to comment. In August, the NFL expressed its concern about prediction markets, which allow customers to trade on the outcomes of events across entertainment and culture like election results or the length of the ongoing government shutdown. Kalshi and other event trading platforms are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Yet many states, regulators and tribes are pushing back on prediction markets, arguing they amount to unregulated gambling. Multiple state and federal lawsuits are in progress over the alleged risks. The American Gaming Association said in a statement Wednesday that the NHL deal “sends a troubling message.” “The platforms in question fail to comply with essential standards,” the AGA said. “Worse, they are currently offering sports wagers in all 50 states to anyone 18 years of age—some of which have not authorized any form of legal sports betting and those that have largely…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Why $8.2B prediction markets’ major league sports backing is huge blow to legacy betting

Why $8.2B prediction markets’ major league sports backing is huge blow to legacy betting

The post Why $8.2B prediction markets’ major league sports backing is huge blow to legacy betting appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. The National Hockey League (NHL) has reached licensing agreements with prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, making it the first major US professional sports league to permit the use of its trademarks by prediction markets, or “licensed betting markets.” As The Wall Street Journal reported on Oct. 22, the multiyear deals grant both platforms rights to use the NHL logo, terms such as “NHL” and “Stanley Cup,” and individual team names. The intellectual property package is the same that the league extends to sportsbook operators such as DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. The agreements formalize the push of prediction markets into sports betting, an incursion that has drawn legal challenges from state regulators and outcry from gambling-industry groups. Kalshi and Polymarket offer event contracts on games that function similarly to traditional sports bets, but operate under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) rather than state gaming commissions. As a federally licensed exchange, Kalshi offers sports event contracts in all 50 states, including jurisdictions that restrict betting on standard sportsbooks. Meanwhile, Polymarket is in the late stages of a US comeback. Keith Wachtel, president of NHL business, stated: “Prediction markets are here to stay. Partnering with Kalshi and Polymarket could expand the league’s fan base to the tech-savvy users of prediction markets, Wachtel added, while noting that sportsbooks remain “important partners” of the NHL.” Volume surge and market share The partnership arrives as prediction markets record multibillion-dollar quarterly volumes. Kalshi and Polymarket are the largest platforms, accounting for 46.6% and 52.1% of the market, respectively, as of last week. According to a Dune dashboard by user dunedata, Kalshi’s volume increased from $1.9 billion in the second quarter to $4.5 billion in the third quarter. In comparison, Polymarket’s volume rose from $3.2 billion to $3.7 billion during the same period.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Jupiter Eyes Q4 Full Launch of Solana Prediction Market Beta Success

Jupiter Eyes Q4 Full Launch of Solana Prediction Market Beta Success

The post Jupiter Eyes Q4 Full Launch of Solana Prediction Market Beta Success appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 💹 Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk controls. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🚀 Smooth orders, clear control Advanced order types and market depth in one view. 👉 Create account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 📈 Clarity in volatile markets Plan entries & exits, manage positions with discipline. 👉 Sign up → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ⚡ Speed, depth, reliability Execute confidently when timing matters. 👉 Open account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup 🧭 A focused workflow for traders Alerts, watchlists, and a repeatable process. 👉 Get started → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup ✅ Data‑driven decisions Focus on process—not noise. 👉 Sign up → The Jupiter prediction market on Solana, built in partnership with Kalshi, is launching its beta version, allowing users to bet on real-world events like Formula One races. Full rollout is expected in Q4 2025, enhancing on-chain asset variety and attracting more users to the decentralized exchange aggregator. Jupiter’s prediction market beta launched on Wednesday, featuring initial betting on the Mexico Grand Prix winner. It integrates Kalshi’s liquidity to enable secure, on-chain event betting for Solana users. Early volume exceeded $120,000, with Max Verstappen favored at 46% odds, signaling strong institutional interest in prediction markets. Discover how Jupiter’s new prediction market on Solana revolutionizes betting with Kalshi’s support. Explore beta features, growth stats, and Q4 launch—join the on-chain future today! (148 characters) What is the Jupiter Prediction Market? The Jupiter prediction market is a native offering from the Solana-based decentralized exchange aggregator Jupiter, designed to let users wager on real-world event outcomes directly on-chain. Launched in beta on Wednesday in partnership with Kalshi, it provides liquidity and focuses on expanding asset types beyond traditional trading. This initiative aims to broaden…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Morning Minute: DraftKings Bets Big on Prediction Markets

Morning Minute: DraftKings Bets Big on Prediction Markets

The post Morning Minute: DraftKings Bets Big on Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Morning Minute is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect those of Decrypt. Subscribe to the Morning Minute on Substack. GM! Today’s top news: Crypto majors reverse and flip red; BTC -1% at $107,500 BTC ETF inflows reach $477M, not enough to counter selling DraftKings acquires Railbird, plans to launch DraftKings Predictions app Polymarket and Kalshi reach licensing agreement with the NHL Jupiter launches its own prediction market powered by Kalshi 💰 DraftKings Bets Big on Prediction Markets DraftKings just made its most aggressive move yet outside of sports betting. And it wasn’t into casino, poker, or fantasy. It was into prediction markets. 📌 What Happened DraftKings announced it is acquiring Railbird Technologies, a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange, and will use it to launch a standalone events trading app called DraftKings Predictions. Railbird comes with what Kalshi and others fought hard for – federal approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to let people trade real-money contracts on real-world outcomes. Now DraftKing’s 6M monthly users will get access to prediction markets (and its $15B company has a shiny new expansion path). DraftKings says the new app will launch “in the coming months” and initially cover non-sports markets – things like finance, pop culture, elections, entertainment, and news. Though sports are very likely to come later (especially in states where DraftKings is currently banned). 🗣️ What Are They Saying “We are excited about the additional opportunity that prediction markets could represent for our business. We believe that Railbird’s team and platform—combined with DraftKings’ scale, trusted brand, and proven expertise in mobile-first products—positions us to win in this incremental space.” – DraftKings CEO Jason Robins said in a statement to CNBC “DraftKings acquires prediction market firm Railbird As I shared last week…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Sam Altman’s World Adds Polymarket In Direct Integration

Sam Altman’s World Adds Polymarket In Direct Integration

The post Sam Altman’s World Adds Polymarket In Direct Integration appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. World, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s digital identity project, formerly known as Worldcoin, is expanding into prediction markets by integrating Polymarket. World App, a mobile application that combines a digital wallet with World’s decentralized identity tool, World ID, has integrated the Polymarket App, the company announced on Tuesday. “World App users can download and access the new Mini App today in countries where Polymarket’s services are permitted,” the announcement said. Both World App and Polymarket have faced usage restrictions globally, as Polymarket is yet to relaunch in the US after securing approval by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission. World App users can bet on Polymarket with USDC and WLD The launch of the Polymarket Mini App on World enables World App users to place Polymarket bets directly from the World App wallet. The app allows users to participate in prediction markets using two crypto assets, Circle’s USDC (USDC) stablecoin and World’s native token, Worldcoin (WLD). Source: World “Eligibility for Worldcoin tokens is restricted based on geography, age and other factors,” World noted in the announcement, adding that the token is not available for distribution via World App to users residing and located in restricted areas, including New York state. “World Assets and World Foundation are not responsible for the availability of WLD on third party platforms, such as centralized or decentralized exchanges,” it added. World’s Mini App downloads pass 100 million The integration came soon after World passed a milestone of 100 million Mini App downloads in early October, underscoring the rising popularity of third-party apps available within World App. Introduced in October 2024, World’s Mini Apps are web applications that are natively integrated into World App. As of March 2025, World had at least 150 Mini Apps on its platform, with 10 million WLD ($8.8 million) transacted. Source: World…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews